
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $716.5 in 24h volume, and $985.8 in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$716.5
Liquidity
$985.8
This market asks whether NVIDIA stock will trade low enough, at least once in June 2026, for a 1-minute candle to print a Low at or below $176 during regular U.S. trading hours. It is a narrow price-threshold question, so the key issue is not where NVDA ends the month, but whether an intraday dip reaches the target. Because NVIDIA is a high-profile semiconductor and AI name, even ordinary earnings, guidance, or market-wide swings can matter here.
The contract resolves “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) shows a final Low price equal to or below $176 at any point in June 2026, using Pyth’s published data. Only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count; pre-market and after-hours moves do not. If NVIDIA has a split or similar corporate action during the period, the target and historical prices are adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
This market captures uncertainty around whether NVDA will have a trading session with enough downside intraday pressure to touch a specific level. NVIDIA’s share price can move quickly on company-specific news, semiconductor demand expectations, and broader shifts in the AI trade, so a single sharp selloff could be enough to settle the contract “Yes.” At the same time, the narrow rule set and the regular-hours-only requirement make the exact timestamp and candle data matter more than an end-of-day close.
Earnings results, forward guidance, or commentary about AI chip demand can quickly change the odds of NVDA touching the threshold. So can major moves in the broader Nasdaq, rate expectations, export-policy headlines affecting chipmakers, or company-specific events such as product launches, supply-chain updates, or a stock split. Because the bar is an intraday low, even a brief market-wide selloff or sharp opening gap could push the contract toward “Yes” without any change in the closing price.
Related markets

+9.8%
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the Pyth 1-minute Low data for NVDA during June 2026 and confirm the candle is within regular U.S. trading hours. The key source of truth is the Pyth Equity.US.NVDA/USD chart with 1-minute candles, and the contract is resolved exactly from those published prices without rounding. The main ambiguity to watch is whether any corporate action changes the split-adjusted target, since the market rules say the threshold will be adjusted proportionally if that happens.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $716.5 in 24h volume, and $985.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
16%
No
84%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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