
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $860.2 in 24h volume, and $535.7 in liquidity.
Probability
30%
24h Volume
$860.2
Liquidity
$535.7
This market asks whether NVIDIA’s stock will print at or below $184 on a 1-minute candle at any point during June 2026. Because NVIDIA is one of the most closely watched large-cap tech stocks, even a brief intraday dip can matter for this market’s outcome. The page’s resolution depends on a specific price feed and a specific trading window, so the details matter as much as the headline level.
The question is simple: will NVDA’s published 1-minute "Low" price touch $184 or lower at any time in June 2026? Resolution uses Pyth data for NVIDIA (NVDA/USD), and only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count, not pre-market or after-hours trading. If a stock split or similar corporate action happens during the month, the threshold and historical prices are adjusted on a split-adjusted basis.
A level like $184 is a concrete price threshold that traders can watch, especially for a stock that often moves sharply around earnings, product news, AI demand expectations, or broader semiconductor sentiment. The uncertainty is not whether NVIDIA is an important company — it is — but whether its intraday trading range during June 2026 will reach that specific floor. People following the market are effectively disagreeing about how much volatility NVDA may see over the month.
The market can move quickly if NVDA trades near the $184 level during normal market hours, because a single 1-minute low is enough to settle it "Yes." Events that often matter for NVIDIA include earnings-related moves, guidance changes, major product announcements, or sector-wide swings in chip stocks and the Nasdaq. Because the rule looks at the exact published low from Pyth, sharp intraday wicks matter more than where the stock closes.
The current market price implies roughly a 30% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+9.8%
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should check the exact source: Pyth’s NVDA 1-minute candle data, not a brokerage chart or a different exchange feed. The key rule is that only regular-session trading counts, and the low must be at or below $184 with no rounding. If there is any corporate action such as a split, verify that both the threshold and the historical candles have been adjusted the way the market description specifies, because that can change how the level is evaluated.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $860.2 in 24h volume, and $535.7 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
30%
No
70%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 30%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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