
+9.8%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $226.2 in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$226.2
Liquidity
$4.4K
This market asks whether NVIDIA’s stock, as measured by Pyth’s 1-minute candles, will trade at or below $192 at any point during June 2026. NVIDIA is one of the most closely watched U.S. stocks because it is a major semiconductor company tied to AI spending, and its price can move sharply around company news, earnings, and broader market risk sentiment.
The exact question is simple: will NVDA’s published intraday low ever touch $192 or lower during regular U.S. trading hours before June ends? The resolution uses Pyth’s NVIDIA/USD equity feed with 1-minute candles, and only the candle’s final Low value counts. The market ends on July 1, 2026 at 03:59:59.999 UTC, which corresponds to the close of June 2026 for this rule set.
This market exists because NVIDIA can be volatile enough that a specific price level is genuinely uncertain, especially over a full month. Traders and readers are effectively pricing disagreement about whether the stock can hold above that threshold or whether a pullback, earnings reaction, or broad tech selloff could push it through. The June date matters because the outcome depends on whether that level is reached at any point during that calendar month, not just at the end of it.
The most direct movers are NVIDIA-specific events such as earnings, guidance, product announcements, or changes in expectations for data-center and AI demand. Large moves in the Nasdaq or the broader semiconductor sector can also matter because NVDA often responds quickly to shifts in technology-stock sentiment. Since the rule keys off an intraday low, even a brief selloff during regular trading hours can determine the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+9.8%
24h Vol
$146.8K
Liquidity
$140.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact threshold, the June 2026 time window, and the fact that only regular trading hours count; pre-market and after-hours moves do not qualify. The source of truth is Pyth’s NVDA equity data on 1-minute candles, using the published Low price exactly as shown and adjusted for any stock split or similar corporate action. If there is a split or other corporate action during the period, the threshold will be adjusted proportionally, so that is the main rule detail to verify before settling any ambiguity.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $226.2 in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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