
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$547.8K
Liquidity
$245.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $888.5 in 24h volume, and $916.8 in liquidity.
Probability
21%
24h Volume
$888.5
Liquidity
$916.8
This market is asking whether NVIDIA’s stock will trade at or above $240 on an intraday 1-minute high at any point during June 2026. Because NVIDIA is one of the most closely watched large-cap stocks in the market, even a brief move to that level would settle the market “Yes” under these rules.
The contract resolves based on NVIDIA (NVDA) reaching a 1-minute candle “High” price of $240 or more during regular U.S. trading hours in June 2026. The source of truth is Pyth’s NVDA/USD data on 1-minute candles, and only the regular session counts — pre-market and after-hours prices do not. If a stock split or similar corporate action happens during the month, the market is adjusted to split-adjusted prices as shown by Pyth.
The key question is whether NVDA can touch a very round, psychologically important price level within a single month. For a company like NVIDIA, the stock can move sharply around earnings, guidance, product-cycle expectations, and broader sentiment toward semiconductors and AI-related names, so traders may disagree about whether $240 is reachable in the regular session before month-end.
The biggest price-moving events for this market are NVIDIA-specific releases such as earnings, guidance updates, or company filings that change how investors value the business. Broader semiconductor strength, shifts in the Nasdaq, and large moves in AI-linked stocks can also affect whether NVDA gets close to the $240 threshold. Because the contract only needs a single qualifying 1-minute high, a short-lived intraday spike matters as much as a sustained close above the level.
The current market price implies roughly a 21% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$547.8K
Liquidity
$245.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact session rules, the target price, and the final date window: June 1 through June 30, 2026, using regular U.S. trading hours only. The resolution source is Pyth’s historical 1-minute NVDA/USD candles, so the important check is whether any published candle high reaches the split-adjusted threshold, not whether the stock closes above it. If there is any corporate action during the month, the split adjustment on Pyth is what determines the final comparison, so that dataset is the decisive source.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $888.5 in 24h volume, and $916.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
20.5%
No
79.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 21%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+10.1%
24h Vol
$151.3K
Liquidity
$142.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$75.9K
Liquidity
$48.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$32.1K
Liquidity
$134.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+3%
24h Vol
$15.6K
Liquidity
$9.5K
Spread
2%
Live
View market
+0.9%
24h Vol
$29.3K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market