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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$547.8K
Liquidity
$245.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $32.3 in 24h volume, and $546.8 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$32.3
Liquidity
$546.8
This market asks whether NVIDIA’s stock can touch a very specific intraday level, $248, at any point during June 2026. Because the trigger is a 1-minute candle high rather than a closing price, even a brief move during regular trading hours is enough to settle it "Yes."
The question is whether NVIDIA (ticker: NVDA) will have at least one 1-minute candle in June 2026 with a published High price of $248 or more on Pyth’s equity data feed. Only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count, so moves in pre-market or after-hours trading do not qualify. The market ends at the close of June 2026, with resolution based on split-adjusted Pyth data if any stock split or similar corporate action occurs.
NVIDIA is one of the most closely watched large-cap tech stocks because its price can move quickly around AI demand, earnings, guidance, product launches, and broader semiconductor sentiment. A level like $248 matters because it is a clean threshold that invites disagreement about whether NVDA can reach that intraday range within the month, even if it does not hold there. The market is pricing a simple but uncertain question: can the stock make a high enough move during normal trading hours before June ends?
The biggest price-moving events for this market are NVIDIA earnings, forward guidance, and any company filing or announcement that changes expectations for sales, margins, or demand for AI chips. Broader swings in semiconductor stocks, Nasdaq sentiment, or large moves in megacap technology names can also help push NVDA toward or away from the threshold. Because the rule uses the intraday high, a brief spike on a strong earnings reaction or market-wide rally could be enough even if the stock later gives back the move.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$547.8K
Liquidity
$245.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rules: the source is Pyth, the metric is the 1-minute candle High, and only regular-session trading counts. The most important ambiguity to watch for is any split or similar corporate action, since the target price will be adjusted proportionally and the historical chart must be read in split-adjusted form. The market resolves using the Pyth data shown for NVDA/USD, so the relevant question is not where the stock closes in June, but whether the intraday high printed at or above the adjusted target before the deadline of 2026-07-01 03:59:59.999 UTC.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $32.3 in 24h volume, and $546.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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