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Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
24h Vol
$1M
Liquidity
$123.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Probability
17%
24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 17%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
17%
No
83%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
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24h Vol
$1M
Liquidity
$123.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 17%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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Spread
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