Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $395 in 24h volume, and $157.7 in liquidity.
Probability
27%
24h Volume
$395
Liquidity
$157.7
This market asks whether Sabrina Carpenter will appear live at the first-ever FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. The event is notable because FIFA has already confirmed the halftime-show slot at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey, but the performer lineup is still the key question for this specific contract.
The question is simple: will Sabrina Carpenter perform in person during the halftime show at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? A qualifying outcome includes any live appearance during the show, even a guest spot or partial performance, as long as she is physically there and performing on July 19, 2026. If the event is cancelled, postponed, or pushed beyond September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to No.
This market exists because FIFA has confirmed the halftime show itself, but not necessarily which artist or artists will take part. Sabrina Carpenter is a well-known pop performer, so the question is whether she will be selected for a high-profile global sports broadcast that sits outside her usual concert calendar. The uncertainty is about the lineup and appearance details, not whether the World Cup Final or halftime show is a real event.
Any official announcement from FIFA, Global Citizen, or closely connected event partners naming Sabrina Carpenter would be the clearest reason for the market to move toward Yes. A broader performer reveal that leaves her off the bill would push the market the other way, especially if the announcement appears final rather than partial. Because the resolution can be based on footage or a consensus of credible reporting, a confirmed on-camera appearance would matter even if the performance is brief.
The current market price implies roughly a 27% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important things to verify are the official halftime-show lineup, the final date and location of the match, and whether Sabrina Carpenter is shown performing live at the event. The contract specifically references the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium, with Global Citizen producing the show, so those details frame the settlement. If the show format changes, is delayed, or the artist appears only in promotional material rather than onstage during the halftime show, those are the main ambiguity risks to watch.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $395 in 24h volume, and $157.7 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
26.5%
No
73.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 27%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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