Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $797.8K in 24h volume, and $9.2M in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$797.8K
Liquidity
$9.2M
This market asks whether Scotland will finish as the champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It is a straightforward tournament-winner question, but the answer depends on Scotland surviving every stage of FIFA’s knockout path and then winning the final on the field. Because the event is decided by official tournament results, the key issue is not popularity or reputation, but whether Scotland can actually clear the competition bracket.
The market resolves to “Yes” only if Scotland are the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If Scotland are eliminated at any point under FIFA’s rules, the market resolves immediately to “No,” even if the tournament is still ongoing. If the World Cup is canceled permanently or not completed by October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM, it resolves to “Other” instead, so the completion status and official FIFA outcome matter as much as the champion itself.
Scotland is a recognized national side with a real, but highly uncertain, path to the title in a tournament that typically narrows quickly once knockout rounds begin. World Cup winner markets draw interest because a single upset, injury, or bracket path can change the outlook dramatically, especially for teams that are not among the presumed favorites. The disagreement here is simply whether Scotland can assemble a squad and tournament run strong enough to outlast every other qualified nation.
Anything that changes Scotland’s chances of reaching and surviving the tournament can move this market: qualification status, the final squad, major injuries, suspensions, coaching changes, and the eventual group-stage draw. Once the tournament starts, match results, knockout placement, and the identity of Scotland’s opponents become the main drivers, since one elimination ends the “Yes” case immediately. Because the market is about the outright winner, even a strong early showing matters less than the bracket path and whether Scotland can keep advancing.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify FIFA’s official tournament status, Scotland’s participation, and the exact elimination rules in the 2026 World Cup format. The most important source of truth is the official FIFA result for the champion, with credible reporting only relevant if the official outcome is delayed or unclear. The deadline in the market rules is October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM for a completed tournament; if the event is not finished by then, the fallback “Other” outcome applies, so a postponed or canceled competition would not settle as a normal win or loss.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $797.8K in 24h volume, and $9.2M in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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