Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $48 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$48
Liquidity
$156.4
Current
97.2%
Change
+70.7%
High
98.8%
Low
26.5%
Yes moved from 26.5% to 97.2% over the full available history, trading between 26.5% and 98.8%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
124 points
This market asks whether Shakira will be one of the performers at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show. It is tied to a one-time, highly visible performance at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey on July 19, 2026, so the main issue is not who is popular, but who actually appears on stage that day.
The question is specific: will Shakira perform live and in person during the halftime show at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? The market rules say a qualifying appearance can be any live appearance during the show, including a guest appearance, even if she does not perform a full set. Resolution is based on footage of the halftime show, with credible reporting used as support if needed, and if the event is cancelled, postponed, or pushed beyond September 30, 2026, the market resolves to No.
This market exists because FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will happen at the final, but the exact performer lineup still carries uncertainty. Shakira is a globally recognized music act with a history of major soccer-stage performances, so readers care about whether her name ends up attached to this landmark broadcast. The market is effectively pricing the remaining uncertainty around the official lineup and final on-stage appearance.
The biggest price moves would come from official FIFA, Global Citizen, or venue announcements naming the halftime performers, especially if Shakira is explicitly included or excluded. Rehearsal reports, promotional posters, broadcast promos, or published set lists could also matter if they clearly identify the performers for July 19, 2026. Any change to the halftime show itself—such as cancellation, postponement, or a delay past the market’s cutoff—would push the outcome toward No under the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official halftime-show footage and any confirmed performer announcements from FIFA or the production team, since those are the clearest settlement references. The key details are the date, July 19, 2026, the location at MetLife Stadium, and whether Shakira appears live during the halftime segment in any capacity. The main ambiguity risk is whether a brief guest appearance counts, but the rules already say it does, so the only real question is whether she is visibly part of the show before the cutoff date.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $48 in 24h volume, and $156.4 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
97.2%
No
2.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 19, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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