
+4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$51.5K
Liquidity
$55.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $21.8K in 24h volume, and $20.1K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$21.8K
Liquidity
$20.1K
This market asks whether CME silver futures will print an official settlement at or above $100 on an active front-month contract before the end of June 2026. It is a clean threshold question built around a single exchange benchmark, so the main issue is not intraday volatility but whether the published CME settlement ever reaches that level within the deadline.
The contract is tied to Silver (SI) futures traded at CME, and it resolves "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month is at least $100 on any trading day from market creation through the final trading day of June 2026. The "Active Month" means the nearest eligible delivery month in CME’s silver cycle, which matters because the market follows the front contract rather than just any silver future. Only the CME settlement page counts, and the first published settlement for that day is the one that matters for resolution.
Silver is a highly liquid commodity, but a $100 settlement is far above the kind of levels the market usually sees, so the question is whether an extreme price move could happen before the June 2026 cutoff. Traders may disagree on how much inflation, industrial demand, macro stress, currency moves, or commodity speculation could lift silver over that line in time. The market is effectively pricing the chance of a very large and very specific CME settlement event, not just a strong rally.
The biggest drivers here are changes in the front-month silver futures price relative to the $100 threshold, especially if the Active Month rolls into a different delivery contract. Sharp moves in precious metals more broadly, a weak U.S. dollar, or a sudden commodity shock could push the contract closer to the strike level, while calm trading or a price retreat would pull it away. Because resolution depends on the official settlement, even a brief intraday spike is not enough unless CME publishes the settlement at or above $100.
Related markets

+4%
24h Vol
$51.5K
Liquidity
$55.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the CME settlement for the Active Month, not spot silver, intraday charts, or quotes from another exchange. The key details to verify are the exact settlement price, whether the contract is still the Active Month under CME’s delivery-cycle rules, and the final trading day covered by the market, which is June 2026. Any ambiguity will usually come from contract rollover timing, holidays or missing settlement days, and the rule that the first published CME settlement for that day controls resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $21.8K in 24h volume, and $20.1K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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