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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$328.6K
Liquidity
$242.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $6.9K in 24h volume, and $33.8K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$33.8K
This market asks whether the CME Silver futures contract will print an official settlement of $170 or higher on an active front-month contract by the end of June 2026. Because the rule is tied to CME’s published settlement, not an intraday spike or headline quote, the exact closing method matters a lot here.
The asset is silver futures on CME, ticker SI, and the event resolves based on the Active Month contract rather than just any silver contract. To count as Yes, CME must publish an official settlement price for that active contract at or above $170 on at least one trading day by the final trading day of June 2026. Weekends, holidays, and days without a published settlement are ignored, and the market uses the first settlement CME publishes for that day.
The key uncertainty is whether silver futures could ever reach a price level this high before the deadline. Traders are pricing disagreement about how far silver can move within the contract window, while also accounting for the fact that CME’s settlement methodology can differ from the last traded price. The Active Month rule adds another layer because the relevant contract can roll from one delivery month to the next.
Any move in the active silver futures contract toward or above the $170 level would push the market toward Yes, but only if CME’s official settlement confirms it. A contract roll into a new Active Month, or a settlement that lands close to the threshold, could also matter because this market is sensitive to the exact CME publication used for resolution. If the front-month silver settlement stays far below $170 through June, the market should remain firmly on the No side.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$328.6K
Liquidity
$242.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketReaders should watch CME Group’s official settlement page for the active SI contract and confirm which month is currently the Active Month under CME’s delivery-cycle rules. The important date is the final trading day of June 2026, and the resolution will use the first official settlement CME posts for that day, even if it is later revised. If there is any ambiguity, the main things to verify are the active contract month, the published settlement price, and whether CME treated the day as a valid trading session for settlement purposes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $6.9K in 24h volume, and $33.8K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.9%
No
99.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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