
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$45.8K
Liquidity
$39.2K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $55.7K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$55.7K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will settle at or above $250 for the active front-month contract on any trading day before the end of June 2026. Because the contract resolution depends on the official CME settlement price, not the intraday high or last trade, the exact exchange print matters more than headlines or spot-market chatter. The threshold is extremely high relative to normal silver pricing, which is why the market is priced as a long-shot event.
The asset here is CME Silver (SI) futures, specifically the Active Month contract, which is the nearest eligible delivery month in CME’s silver cycle. The market resolves “Yes” if the official CME settlement price for that active month is equal to or above $250 on any trading day through the final trading day of June 2026; otherwise it resolves “No.” The final date shown for the market is June 30, 2026, and only the first-published settlement for that day counts.
There is uncertainty because the rule is based on a very specific futures settlement, not on broad silver prices or a casual reference point. Traders may disagree about whether an extraordinary spike, a contract roll, or a pricing anomaly could ever push the active-month settlement to the stated level before the deadline. The market is also a way to test how people assess extreme tail outcomes in commodity futures.
Any move that changes the odds of an unprecedented silver futures settlement can affect this market, especially large swings in CME silver futures around contract roll dates. Since the resolution depends on the active month, changes in which contract is front month, or how that contract settles on a given day, matter directly. If silver prices remain far below the threshold, the market will tend to stay anchored near a “No” outcome; only an outsized and credible path to a $250 settlement would meaningfully change that.
Related markets

+1%
24h Vol
$45.8K
Liquidity
$39.2K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the CME settlement page for the active-month SI contract, because the market resolves from the official settlement price as first published for each trading day. The key details to verify are which month is currently the Active Month, whether CME has published a settlement for that day, and whether the published settlement meets or exceeds $250. Weekend days, holidays, and closures do not count, and later corrections do not override the first official settlement used for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $55.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.5%
No
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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