
--
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$42.2K
Liquidity
$201.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, $4.3K in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Probability
33%
24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$1.5K
This market asks whether silver futures will trade at a very specific threshold before the end of June 2026. Because it is tied to the CME’s official settlement process for the active Silver (SI) contract, the answer depends on the exchange’s published daily settlement, not on headlines or intraday spikes.
The question is whether the CME settlement price for the active-month Silver (SI) futures contract will reach $80 or higher on any eligible trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. The contract rolls through CME’s delivery months, so the “active month” can change over time as the front contract moves from one delivery cycle to the next. The market resolves Yes only if CME’s official settlement page first shows the active-month settlement at or above $80 during that period.
Silver is a widely traded precious metal, and a move to $80 would be a major milestone for a futures contract that usually reflects a mix of commodity demand, industrial use, monetary demand, and market stress. The uncertainty here is not whether silver can move sharply on a busy day, but whether it can close, on CME’s official settlement, at a level high enough to clear the market’s threshold before June ends. Traders may disagree on how much room there is for a sustained rally versus a pullback before the deadline.
The biggest price-moving developments are the ones that can affect the CME settlement in the active contract itself: sharp shifts in precious-metals demand, changes in interest-rate expectations, macroeconomic stress, or supply-and-demand news that changes the futures curve. Because the rule uses the official settlement price, a close near $80 matters more than an intraday print above it. The market is also sensitive to contract roll timing, since the active month can change and the relevant settlement must come from whichever SI contract is active on that day.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$42.2K
Liquidity
$201.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 33% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Watch the CME settlement page for the active-month Silver (SI) contract and confirm that the posted settlement, not the last trade, is the source being used. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, and only days with official CME settlements count; weekends, holidays, and closures do not. One important ambiguity to verify is the source line in the market rules, which appears truncated in the description provided, so readers should rely on the stated CME settlement-page rule and the exact active-month definition if any question comes up about which contract was eligible on a given day.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, $4.3K in 24h volume, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
32.5%
No
67.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 33%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-10.5%
24h Vol
$43.5K
Liquidity
$28.4K
Spread
2%
7/1/2026
View market
+1%
24h Vol
$49.1K
Liquidity
$63.8K
Spread
1%
6/30/2026
View market
+0.3%
24h Vol
$55.8K
Liquidity
$50.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$60.1K
Liquidity
$76K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-2.5%
24h Vol
$8.1K
Liquidity
$10K
Spread
1%
Live
View market