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Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$42.5K
Liquidity
$189.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $5.2 in 24h volume, and $19.7K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$5.2
Liquidity
$19.7K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will print an official settlement at or above $90 for the active month at any point before the end of June 2026. Because it is tied to the CME’s published settlement, the focus is not on intraday spikes or headlines, but on a specific official end-of-day benchmark that can differ from the last traded price.
The contract is about Silver (SI) futures on CME, with the key trigger being the active month contract’s official settlement price. The active month is the nearest eligible delivery month in CME’s silver cycle, and the market resolves “Yes” if that settlement is ever at least $90 on a trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. If no such CME settlement appears by then, it resolves “No.”
Silver prices can move sharply on macroeconomic news, inflation expectations, industrial demand, dollar strength, and broader precious-metals sentiment, but the exact question here is narrower: will the CME’s benchmark settlement for the front active month ever reach a very high threshold. The uncertainty is less about day-to-day volatility and more about whether spot-like strength in the futures curve can carry the official settlement all the way to $90 before the deadline.
A rally in precious metals, a weaker U.S. dollar, changes in real yields, or a surge in demand for safe-haven assets could all make a $90 settlement more plausible. The market can also move on shifts in the active month itself, since the contract watches the CME-designated front month rather than a generic silver quote; rollover timing and the specific CME settlement print matter. By contrast, brief intraday moves above $90 would not count unless CME’s official settlement for that active month is at or above the threshold.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$42.5K
Liquidity
$189.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check the CME settlement page for the active month of SI futures, not just charts, broker quotes, or intraday highs. The important details are the official published settlement, the active-month designation, and the final trading day of June 2026, since the market ignores weekends and days without a CME settlement. One ambiguity to verify is that the market text refers to the listed price as $90, but the page title says “HIGH,” so the controlling rule is the CME settlement threshold described in the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $5.2 in 24h volume, and $19.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
4%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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