finance
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
85%
+7.5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
24h Vol
$186.1K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
2%
12/31/2027
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $207.5 in 24h volume, and $693.2 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$207.5
Liquidity
$693.2
This market asks whether SkyView will reach the No. 1 spot on Apple’s U.S. iPhone App Store Paid Apps chart at a specific check time on June 12. The question is narrow: it is not about overall app-store performance or long-term sales, but about one exact ranking snapshot.
The outcome depends on whether SkyView is ranked #1 in the United States in the iPhone App Store’s overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps” at 12:00 PM ET on June 12. The resolution source is the Apple App Store chart page for U.S. iPhone paid apps, and the market uses that chart list rather than any other store ranking, revenue measure, or category chart. Because the title names a single app, readers should treat this as a one-day, one-chart question tied to that exact timestamp.
A paid app can move into the top spot for many reasons, including a new promotion, a price change, a seasonal bump, or a burst of attention around the app itself. SkyView is a branded app name, so the market is really about whether that specific product can outpace every other paid iPhone app in the U.S. at the resolution time. The uncertainty comes from how quickly App Store charts can shift and how little visibility the public usually has into the forces driving them.
Any change that could plausibly push SkyView higher in the U.S. paid-app rankings may matter here, especially changes close to June 12 such as pricing, featuring, or sudden consumer interest. Since the market resolves on a fixed noon Eastern snapshot, the price can move on signs that the app is climbing into the top few positions or, conversely, that another paid app appears likely to hold the top slot. The live market also reflects a narrow spread and modest volume, so new information about chart momentum can matter quickly.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+7.5%
24h Vol
$186.1K
Liquidity
$79.8K
Spread
2%
12/31/2027
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact Apple chart used for settlement: U.S. iPhone App Store, Top Charts, Paid Apps, checked at 12:00 PM ET on June 12. Readers should pay attention to the ranking at that moment, not to App Store search results, app reviews, or other country charts. If SkyView is not clearly listed at #1 in that specific chart snapshot, the market should resolve No, so the exact source page and timestamp are the critical checks.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $207.5 in 24h volume, and $693.2 in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
4.8%
No
95.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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