sports
⚡ Tight
99%
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Roman Safiullin vs. Joao Fonseca: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca
24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketSports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.4K in 24h volume, and $13.1K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$13.1K
This market asks whether Sofia Kenin will win the 2026 U.S. Open women’s singles title. The U.S. Open is one of tennis’s four major championships, so the outcome depends on a full two-week Grand Slam draw rather than a single match or ranking snapshot.
The question is simple: will Sofia Kenin emerge as the champion of the 2026 Women’s Singles Tournament at the U.S. Open, which is scheduled for August 23 through September 13, 2026. Settlement follows the tournament’s official winner, and the market can also resolve to “No” if Kenin is eliminated in a way that makes her victory impossible under the event rules, or to “Other” if the tournament is canceled, delayed past October 31, 2026, or ends without a declared winner.
Kenin is a proven major-level player, but winning a Grand Slam requires surviving seven rounds against a deep field, often over several days and in changing conditions. That creates genuine uncertainty around form, fitness, draw position, and whether she can navigate the full women’s singles bracket all the way to the trophy.
The biggest price movers before and during the tournament will be Kenin’s entry status, draw placement, and any official updates on injury, withdrawal, or retirement. Match results matter at every stage: a tough early draw, a loss to a higher-ranked opponent, or a late run into the second week would all change the market’s view quickly, as would any change in the tournament schedule or format.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the official U.S. Open winner announcement, with credible consensus reporting used only if needed. Readers should check that the tournament is still scheduled to finish by September 13, 2026, and note the market’s special fallback rules for cancellation, long postponement, or no declared champion. Because settlement depends on official tournament rules and the final women’s singles result, any walkover, retirement, or disqualification should be interpreted in line with the event’s own scoring and winner-declaration procedures.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.4K in 24h volume, and $13.1K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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