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Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$212.5K
Liquidity
$136.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $6.9K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Probability
96%
24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$1.8K
This market asks which Solana price level, $60 or $140, will be reached first on Binance’s SOL/USDT market before the deadline. It is a straightforward price-race question, but the answer depends on the exact Binance feed and the order in which those thresholds are touched, not on Solana’s price at other venues. The market is currently priced heavily toward the $60 outcome, reflecting that traders think the lower level is more likely to be reached first.
The contract resolves to $60 if Binance SOL/USDT trades at $60 or below before it ever trades at $140 or above, and it resolves to $140 if the reverse happens first. If neither threshold is reached by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50–50 instead of picking a winner. The key detail is that the source of truth is Binance’s SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” data with the 1m and Candles view selected, so the outcome is tied to that specific exchange feed.
Solana is a large, widely traded crypto asset, so both a sharp drop to $60 and a rally to $140 are plausible enough to create a meaningful race between two round-number levels. These kinds of markets attract attention because traders often disagree not just about direction, but about which price target will be seen first during a long window that runs through 2026. The pricing here suggests the market expects downside to $60 to arrive before an upside move to $140, but that expectation can change if Solana’s trading range shifts.
The price can move quickly if SOL begins trending toward one of the two levels on Binance, since a touch at or beyond the threshold is enough to settle the market. Large exchange announcements, major protocol changes on Solana, broad crypto rallies or selloffs, and shifts in market sentiment can all matter because they can push SOL toward either $60 or $140 sooner. Because the contract is path-dependent, a brief wick or intraday move that reaches one level first may matter more than where the token closes later.
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24h Vol
$212.5K
Liquidity
$136.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 96% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, the most important thing to verify is the exact Binance SOL/USDT high and low behavior in the 1m Candles view, since that is the stated source of truth. Readers should also keep in mind that prices on other exchanges do not control this outcome, and a mismatch between Binance and broader market data would not change the settlement. The deadline is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and if neither $60 nor $140 is touched by then, the contract defaults to an even split rather than a full win for either side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $6.9K in 24h volume, and $1.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
$60
96%
$140
4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Solana’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Solana’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 96%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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