Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, $987.3 in 24h volume, and $13.6K in liquidity.
Probability
26%
24h Volume
$987.3
Liquidity
$13.6K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, $987.3 in 24h volume, and $13.6K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
26.5%
No
73.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 4, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 26%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
