Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.

Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.