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Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
24h Vol
$84.5K
Liquidity
$138K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 59%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Probability
59%
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 59%, $1.2K in 24h volume, and $3.2K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
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24h Vol
$84.5K
Liquidity
$138K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 59%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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