Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?. The market currently shows a live probability of 88%, $10 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.

Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Aug 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.