
+0.4%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$604K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketTechnology
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?. The market currently shows a live probability of 67%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $3.3K in liquidity.
Probability
67%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?. The market currently shows a live probability of 67%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $3.3K in liquidity.
Track live technology prediction markets focused on AI, major tech events, product launches, innovation forecasts, and emerging industry trends.
Yes
67%
No
33%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Related markets

+0.4%
24h Vol
$604K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 67%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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