Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $94.2 in 24h volume, and $15.5K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.