
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$59.1K
Liquidity
$64.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $487.3 in liquidity.
Probability
44%
24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$487.3
This market asks whether SPY, the ETF that tracks the S&P 500, will print a 1-minute high of $750 or more during the week of June 8, 2026. It is a narrow threshold question about the fund’s intraday price action, not its closing level at the end of the week. Because the answer depends on a specific published price feed, the exact tape and the timing of the candles matter.
The event is about SPY’s "High" price on 1-minute candles during regular U.S. trading hours in the week of June 8, 2026. The market resolves "Yes" if any qualifying 1-minute candle shows a final high at or above $750, using Pyth data exactly as published and without rounding; otherwise it resolves "No." Only prices during the primary exchange’s regular session count, so pre-market and after-hours spikes do not qualify.
SPY is one of the most watched U.S. equity ETFs because it closely reflects the S&P 500, making round-number thresholds like $750 easy reference points for traders and observers. The uncertainty here is not whether the index will generally be strong or weak, but whether intraday trading during a single week will briefly reach that specific level. That is why the market is pricing a debate over a precise price touch rather than a broader view on the market.
The price can move if SPY trades closer to the $750 mark during the week, especially if broad equity markets rally sharply during regular hours. Large moves in the S&P 500, major macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve commentary, or a sudden risk-on sentiment shift can all make a one-minute high at or above the threshold more plausible. Because the rule looks at intraday highs, even a brief spike matters more than the weekly close.
The current market price implies roughly a 44% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$59.1K
Liquidity
$64.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule first: only 1-minute candles from regular trading hours count, and the source of truth is the Pyth chart for SPY with 1-minute settings. The market also notes split-adjusted handling, although that is unlikely to matter for an ETF over this short window; still, the listed rules control if any corporate-action adjustment were relevant. The deadline frame ends with the week of June 8, 2026, so the key question is whether Pyth shows any qualifying candle before that window closes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $2.1K in 24h volume, and $487.3 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 44%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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