Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $76.4K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$76.4K
This market asks whether the Cleveland Guardians will end the 2026 MLB season as World Series champions. It is tied to one specific baseball outcome, so what matters most is the team’s path through the regular season, the playoffs, and the official World Series result.
The Cleveland Guardians are one of MLB’s American League clubs, and this page resolves only if they are the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If the Guardians are eliminated before winning it all, the market resolves to “No” under the rules, even if they had a strong regular season. The market is set to close at the end of October 2026, which matches the usual window for the World Series, and the stated resolution source is official MLB information, with credible reporting used only if needed.
A World Series market stays uncertain because even good teams must survive a long season, injuries, roster changes, and multiple playoff rounds. For Cleveland, the question is whether the Guardians can build a roster and play consistently enough to win four postseason series in a league with many contenders. The market is pricing disagreement about how likely that full championship path is, not just whether the team will be competitive.
The biggest price moves usually come from roster and schedule developments: key injuries, a star pitcher missing time, a trade deadline move, or a run of wins and losses that changes playoff odds. In baseball, lineup stability and starting pitching matter a lot, so news about the Guardians’ rotation, bullpen, and everyday hitters can shift sentiment quickly. Once the postseason starts, every playoff result can matter even more, because one elimination changes the market to “No” for Cleveland immediately.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market settles, readers should check the official MLB postseason bracket and the World Series champion announced by MLB. The key ambiguity is not who had the best record, but whether Cleveland actually wins the 2026 World Series before the deadline; if the season is canceled, pushed beyond December 31, 2026 ET, or ends without a declared champion, the rules point to “Other.” If you are following along, the most important details are the Guardians’ playoff status, the final MLB championship result, and whether the season finishes within the resolution window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $76.4K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
3.1%
No
97%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Oct 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
