
-0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.9K
Liquidity
$51.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $558,000 and $562,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $233.8 in liquidity.
Probability
19%
24h Volume
$26.9
Liquidity
$233.8
This market asks whether the Washington, D.C. metro area’s median home value will land in a very tight band on June 30, 2026. It is a housing-price question, but the resolution depends on a specific index and formula, not on a headline estimate or a national average.
The event is the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. Resolution will use Parcl Labs’ Sales Price Index for Washington, D.C. Metro (Parcl_ID: 2900475), and the published price-per-square-foot figure will be multiplied by 1,800 square feet, which the market uses as the metro’s median home size. The market resolves “Yes” only if that calculated value falls between $558,000 and $562,000, with exact midpoint cases rounded to the higher bracket.
Housing prices in the D.C. metro can shift with mortgage rates, local demand, inventory, and seasonal patterns, so the exact June 30 reading is not obvious far in advance. The narrow $4,000 band makes this a precise threshold question rather than a broad direction call, which is why small changes in the underlying index can matter. Readers following this market are really watching whether the official Parcl Labs figure ends up inside that slice of the distribution.
The market price can move if traders believe the June 30 Parcl Labs index will come in higher or lower than expected, especially if recent metro-area pricing data suggests a break from the current range. Because the final settlement uses a price-per-square-foot index multiplied by a fixed 1,800-square-foot assumption, even modest moves in the index can change whether the result lands inside or outside the target band. Any sign that the June 30 publication may be delayed also matters, since the rules say the market falls back to the most recently published data if no June 30 release appears by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Related markets

-0.1%
24h Vol
$148.9K
Liquidity
$51.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 19% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the exact Parcl Labs publication for Washington, D.C. Metro on June 30, 2026, since that is the source of truth for settlement. Readers should also check whether the published figure is the June 30 release itself or a fallback older release, because the market uses the most recently published data only if June 30 data is not posted by the July 10 deadline. If the reported value sits exactly on a bracket boundary, the rules say it resolves to the higher range bracket, so that edge case matters for this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $558,000 and $562,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $233.8 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
18.5%
No
81.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 19%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$96.8K
Liquidity
$45.9K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$268K
Liquidity
$1.2M
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.1%
24h Vol
$48.9K
Liquidity
$43.7K
Spread
0%
6/16/2026
View market
+7.3%
24h Vol
$70.2K
Liquidity
$20.4K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$27.1K
Liquidity
$154.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market