
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$152.1K
Liquidity
$56.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $562,000 and $566,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $212.5 in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$26.9
Liquidity
$212.5
This market asks where the Washington, D.C. metro area’s median home value will land on June 30, 2026, using a narrow band around $562,000 to $566,000 as the key threshold. It is tied to a specific official data release, so the question is less about broad sentiment and more about where Parcl Labs’ reported index value ends up on that date.
The market resolves from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area, identified here as Parcl_ID: 2900475. Parcl’s published price-per-square-foot figure will be multiplied by 1,800 square feet, the market’s stated median home size assumption, to determine the median home value used for settlement. If the final value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher range bracket is used, and if June 30 data is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the most recently published data is used instead.
Washington, D.C. metro housing is a large, closely watched market, and even small moves in a median-value estimate can shift whether the result lands inside or outside this specific range. Readers may care because this setup captures a single monthly data point rather than a long-term trend, which can make the outcome sensitive to how the index is reported and how the conversion to home value is done. The market is really pricing disagreement about whether the June 30 Parcl reading will stay near this band or drift above or below it.
The biggest driver is the Parcl Labs June 30, 2026 release itself, since the market resolves directly from that official index figure. Any change in the published price-per-square-foot value, or any revision-style fallback to the latest available data if the June 30 release is delayed, could move the result in or out of the $562,000 to $566,000 range. Because the settlement uses a fixed 1,800-square-foot conversion, the only thing that really matters is where the index prints relative to the band boundaries.
Related markets

-0.2%
24h Vol
$152.1K
Liquidity
$56.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify the exact Parcl Labs release for Washington, D.C. Metro on June 30, 2026 and confirm the published price index value used for the calculation. The important rule is the conversion from price per square foot to a median home value by multiplying by 1,800, plus the fallback that uses the most recently published data if June 30 data is not posted by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The main ambiguity risk is not the headline title itself, but whether the official release arrives on time and whether the bracket boundary rule pushes an exact midpoint into the higher range.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $562,000 and $566,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $212.5 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
11%
No
89%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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