
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$153.2K
Liquidity
$54.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $570,000 and $572,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $187.4 in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$26.9
Liquidity
$187.4
This market asks where the Washington, D.C. metro area’s median home value will land on June 30, 2026, using Parcl Labs’ official sales price index rather than a newspaper estimate or a generic housing headline. Because the range is very narrow, even a small move in the underlying index can decide whether the result falls inside or outside the $570,000 to $572,000 band.
The question is whether the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area will be between $570,000 and $572,000 on June 30, 2026. Resolution is tied to Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Parcl_ID 2900475, and the market converts that published price-per-square-foot figure into a home value by multiplying it by 1,800 square feet, which the rules say is the metro area’s median home size. If the reported value lands exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket, and if June 30 data is not published by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the latest available published data is used instead.
Washington, D.C. is a large and economically important housing market, but its median value is not a single obvious number that everyone agrees on at all times. The uncertainty comes from the fact that the market depends on one specific index reading, one specific metro geography, and a narrow price band that can be crossed by modest month-to-month changes in home values. Readers may care because it offers a clean, date-specific check on whether the DC metro housing market is sitting near that valuation level at the end of June 2026.
The most direct price mover is any change in the Parcl Labs sales price index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area as June 30 approaches, since the settlement value is derived directly from that series. A stronger-than-expected housing market, a softer market, or even small revisions in the published index can push the implied median home value across the $570,000 to $572,000 threshold. Because the band is tight, even a relatively minor change in the underlying price-per-square-foot figure can materially change the outcome.
Related markets

-0.2%
24h Vol
$153.2K
Liquidity
$54.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the deadline, the key thing to verify is the exact Parcl Labs release for June 30, 2026, for Parcl_ID 2900475, because that is the official source of truth for settlement. Readers should also note the conversion rule: the published price index is multiplied by 1,800 square feet, so the relevant question is not just the raw index value but the resulting median home value after that calculation. If the June 30 figure is delayed, the market falls back to the latest published data by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and if a reported value sits exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher range wins.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $570,000 and $572,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $187.4 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
7%
No
93%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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