
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$153.2K
Liquidity
$54.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $572,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $203.1 in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$26.9
Liquidity
$203.1
This market asks whether the Washington, D.C. metro area’s median home value will come in above $572,000 on June 30, 2026. It is tied to a specific Parcl Labs housing index reading, so the key issue is not a subjective estimate of the local market but a defined data release on a set date.
The event centers on the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). Parcl will publish the June 30, 2026 data, and the market will resolve by converting that published price-per-square-foot figure into a home value using a 1,800-square-foot median home size for the metro area. If the reported value falls exactly between two outcome brackets, the higher bracket is used, and if the June 30 figure is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market uses the most recently published data instead.
The uncertainty here is about where the Washington, D.C. housing market will stand at a specific point in time relative to a fairly precise threshold. D.C. metro home prices can move with inventory, mortgage rates, buyer demand, and broader regional economic conditions, so the market is pricing disagreement over whether the index-based value will clear $572,000 or stay below it. Because the resolution depends on an index rather than a single home sale, readers should focus on the published Parcl figure rather than headlines about anecdotes in the housing market.
Any new Parcl Labs publication for the Washington, D.C. metro index can change expectations for the June 30 reading, especially if it shows a sustained rise or slowdown in the underlying price-per-square-foot trend. News that materially affects housing demand or supply in the region, such as mortgage-rate moves, inventory shifts, or unusually strong or weak sales conditions, can also matter because those factors can feed into the index value that Parcl publishes. Closer to the resolution date, traders will likely watch whether recent index prints have been moving toward or away from the $572,000 cutoff.
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-0.2%
24h Vol
$153.2K
Liquidity
$54.6K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main source of truth is the official Parcl Labs Sales Price Index entry for Washington, D.C. Metro area, not secondary coverage or generic local housing summaries. Before resolution, readers should verify the exact June 30, 2026 publication, the published price-per-square-foot value, and the market’s conversion rule using 1,800 square feet. It is also worth checking the fallback rule: if the June 30 data is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market settles on the most recently published data instead.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $572,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $26.9 in 24h volume, and $203.1 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
13.5%
No
86.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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