
-2.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$147.4K
Liquidity
$43.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,181,000 and $1,190,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $33 in 24h volume, and $214.2 in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$33
Liquidity
$214.2
This market asks whether the Los Angeles metro area’s median home value will land in a very specific price band on June 30, 2026. It is worth watching because the outcome depends on an official housing price index, not a headline estimate or a one-time sale, so small changes in the underlying data can matter.
The question is whether the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area will be between $1,181,000 and $1,190,000 on June 30. Resolution is tied to Parcl Labs’ Sales Price Index for Los Angeles Metro (Parcl_ID: 2900078), using the published price-per-square-foot figure multiplied by 1,900 square feet, which the market rules say is the metro’s median home size. The market is set to resolve with the June 30, 2026 publication, or, if that date’s data is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, with the most recently published data instead.
Los Angeles housing is large, expensive, and often moves in a narrow range month to month, which makes a specific bracket like this one meaningful rather than arbitrary. Traders are effectively debating whether the metro’s measured median value will sit inside this $10,000 window on the June 30 readout, or fall just above or below it. Because the source is a model-based index rather than a single listing or sale, the market is really about the official Parcl Labs estimate and how it lands after the monthly data update.
Anything that could change expectations for the June 30 Parcl Labs index can move this market, especially signs that Los Angeles prices are tracking a little hotter or softer than the target band. Since the rule converts a price-per-square-foot index into a home-value estimate using a fixed 1,900-square-foot median size, even small shifts in the published index can push the result into a neighboring bracket. Price action may also react to whether the market thinks the June 30 report will be published on time, because the fallback rule uses the most recent release if that date’s data is missing by July 10.
Related markets

-2.4%
24h Vol
$147.4K
Liquidity
$43.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key item to verify is the exact June 30, 2026 Parcl Labs Sales Price Index release for Los Angeles Metro, and whether it is labeled for Parcl_ID 2900078. Readers should also check the bracket rule carefully: if the reported value falls exactly between two ranges, the market resolves to the higher bracket, which matters near a boundary. The deadline in the market listing is June 30, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, but the actual resolution depends on the Parcl publication schedule and the fallback rule if June 30 data is not released by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,181,000 and $1,190,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $33 in 24h volume, and $214.2 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
22.5%
No
77.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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