
-2.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$147.2K
Liquidity
$42.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,208,000 and $1,216,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $33 in 24h volume, and $371.8 in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$33
Liquidity
$371.8
This market asks whether the Los Angeles Metro area’s median home value will land in a narrow band on June 30, 2026. It is tied to a specific published housing benchmark from Parcl Labs, so the key issue is not a broad guess about the housing market but whether one official reading falls inside a very precise price range.
The question is whether the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area will be between $1,208,000 and $1,216,000 on June 30, 2026. Resolution uses Parcl Labs’ Sales Price Index for Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078), which is published as a price per square foot figure and then multiplied by 1,900 square feet, the market’s assumed median home size. If the calculated value lands exactly on a boundary between brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket.
Los Angeles home prices are large enough that small changes in the underlying index can move the implied median value by thousands of dollars. That makes this a very specific test of where the Parcl Labs reading will print on the June 30 snapshot, rather than a general view on whether prices are rising or falling. Readers may care because the outcome depends on a single official data point, and the range is narrow enough that even modest shifts in the index matter.
The market can move if the expected June 30 Parcl Labs print starts to look more likely to fall near the target band or drift away from it. Because the settlement is based on a published index value, any information that changes expectations around the June 30 Sales Price Index reading for Los Angeles Metro—such as changes in the local sales mix reflected in the index methodology—can affect the market. The final resolution will also depend on whether Parcl publishes the June 30 data by the deadline; if not, the most recently published data is used instead.
Related markets

-2.2%
24h Vol
$147.2K
Liquidity
$42.5K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the official Parcl Labs Sales Price Index release for Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026, and the exact price-per-square-foot value used in the calculation. Readers should also check the market’s bracket rules carefully: if the final calculated value falls exactly on a boundary, it resolves to the higher bracket. If Parcl does not release June 30 data by July 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market falls back to the latest available published data, so that cutoff matters as much as the June 30 reading itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,208,000 and $1,216,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $33 in 24h volume, and $371.8 in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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