Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,244,000 on June 30?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,244,000 on June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $30 in 24h volume, and $271.6 in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)