Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $4.3K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)