Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $5K in 24h volume, and $57.3K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$57.3K
This market asks whether the New York Mets will finish the 2026 MLB postseason as World Series champions. It is tied to one of baseball’s biggest annual outcomes, so it matters because the answer depends on a full season of roster health, divisional performance, and how the team fares under playoff pressure. The market is scheduled to resolve after the 2026 World Series is decided, or earlier if MLB rules make a Mets title impossible.
The concrete question is simple: will the Mets be the team that wins the 2026 World Series? Because the Mets are a Major League Baseball team, their path to a “Yes” requires first making the postseason and then surviving the playoff bracket all the way to the final series. The market’s deadline is listed as October 31, 2026, and the resolution source is MLB’s official record, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
There is real uncertainty here because baseball seasons are long, injuries can reshape a roster, and the playoffs are short enough that one hot or cold stretch can change the outcome quickly. For the Mets, the question is not just whether they are a strong regular-season team, but whether they can get into October and win a series format against the best surviving clubs. The market is pricing disagreement over how likely that full chain of events is to happen.
Price moves are most likely to come from Mets performance that changes their playoff outlook: winning streaks, losing streaks, injuries to key players, trade-deadline roster changes, and lineup stability. Official standings and any clinching or elimination scenarios matter a lot, because the description says the market resolves “No” once it becomes impossible for the Mets to win the 2026 World Series under MLB rules. In the postseason itself, the Mets’ bracket position, opponent quality, and any elimination game outcomes can move the market sharply.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch MLB’s official standings, the Mets’ playoff status, and the exact date when the World Series concludes, since the market says it can also resolve to “Other” if the 2026 season is cancelled, pushed past December 31, 2026 ET, or otherwise has no winner by then. The key rule to verify is the elimination clause: if the Mets are knocked out of the playoffs, the market should settle “No” regardless of how well they played earlier. If there is any dispute, MLB’s official championship result is the source of truth, with consensus reporting only relevant if the official path is unclear.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $5K in 24h volume, and $57.3K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
1.1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Oct 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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