crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $244.2 in 24h volume, and $5.5K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$244.2
Liquidity
$5.5K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will finish inside a narrow band, between $68,000 and $70,000, at exactly noon Eastern Time on June 10. Because the range is tight and the cutoff is tied to one specific minute candle on one exchange, even a small move can decide the outcome.
The event is not about Bitcoin’s broad daily high or low, and not about prices on other exchanges. It resolves using the final 'Close' price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, with a Yes only if that close lands within the stated bracket; if the value falls exactly on a boundary between brackets, the higher bracket wins. The end time shown on the market page is June 10, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, which corresponds to noon in Eastern Time during daylight saving time.
Bitcoin can move quickly enough that a single minute’s closing print may land just inside or just outside a defined range. Traders following this market are really weighing whether BTC will be trading at that specific Binance reference price near the middle of the $68,000 to $70,000 zone at the noon cutoff, rather than whether it is simply broadly strong or weak that day. The uncertainty is amplified by the fact that a one-minute close can differ from spot prices seen elsewhere.
Any intraday Bitcoin move leading into noon ET can change the result, especially if BTC is hovering near either edge of the bracket. Sharp moves in the broader crypto market, large spot or derivatives activity, or a fast reversal in the minutes before the cutoff could push the Binance 1-minute close across the threshold. Because the market uses a single timestamped Binance candle, the last minute before 12:00 ET matters more than the day’s wider trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule: the closing value must come from Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles at 12:00 ET, not from a different exchange, pair, or longer timeframe. It is also worth verifying the bracket edges and the tie-break rule, since a price exactly on a boundary resolves to the higher bracket. The main ambiguity risk is assuming a general BTC spot price or an average price will count, when this market depends only on the specified Binance candle close.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $244.2 in 24h volume, and $5.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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