crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$36.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $81.2 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$81.2
Liquidity
$6.2K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT spot price will be below $58,000 at the specific noon ET candle close on June 10, 2026. It is worth watching because the answer depends on one narrowly defined timestamp and one exchange feed, so even a short-lived move around that moment can decide the outcome.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset, and to a single Binance data point: the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle labeled 12:00 in Eastern Time on June 10. If that candle’s final Close is under $58,000, the market resolves Yes; if it is at or above $58,000, it resolves No. The deadline on the page is June 10, 2026, and the resolution source is explicitly Binance BTC/USDT candles, not other exchanges, indexes, or derivatives prices.
Bitcoin often trades near round-number levels like $58,000, where sentiment can change quickly around macro news, liquidity shifts, or crypto-specific headlines. Because the rule uses one exchange and one minute candle, there can be genuine uncertainty about whether the price will finish just below or just above the threshold at that exact time. The market is pricing disagreement about both direction and timing: not just where Bitcoin will be, but whether it will be on the right side of the cutoff at noon ET.
Anything that changes Bitcoin’s spot price around the June 10 noon ET window can matter here, especially sharp moves on Binance itself. Exchange announcements, ETF-related headlines, regulatory developments, or broad crypto market swings can push BTCUSDT toward or away from the $58,000 line. Because the resolution uses a single minute candle, fast moves, temporary spikes, or thin liquidity around the close can be more important than the day’s broader trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$36.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact settlement rule: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET on June 10, and the Close price from that candle. The key ambiguity to watch for is not the broader Bitcoin market, but whether the Binance candle is printed cleanly and whether the final Close lands below or at/above the threshold. If the price ends exactly on the cutoff, the market description does not say to round down; it says the result follows the reported Binance Close, so the exact source value is what matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $81.2 in 24h volume, and $6.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
10.6%
No
89.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$157.6K
Liquidity
$158.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market+11.8%
24h Vol
$68.3K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View market-9.5%
24h Vol
$45.1K
Liquidity
$63.4K
Spread
2%
1/1/2027
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$33.8K
Liquidity
$25.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market-0.2%
24h Vol
$65.6K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market