
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, and $271.7 in liquidity.
Probability
27%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$271.7
This market asks whether Tesla shares will trade low enough, at any point during the week of June 8, 2026, for a 1-minute candle to show a published low at or below $375. Because the trigger is based on intraday lows rather than a closing price, even brief moves during regular U.S. trading hours can matter. The question is especially relevant for a high-volatility stock like Tesla, where sharp swings are often part of the story.
The event is tied to Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), and the threshold is a low price of $375 during the listed week. Resolution depends on Pyth’s TSLA USD feed using 1-minute candles, and only lows printed during regular trading hours on the primary exchange count; pre-market and after-hours prices do not. If any qualifying candle has a final Low at or below $375, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
This market captures uncertainty about whether Tesla will touch a specific price floor during that week, not whether it finishes above or below that level. Traders may disagree because the result can hinge on a short-lived intraday dip, and Tesla’s price can react quickly to broad market moves, company-specific news, or sector sentiment. The exact cutoff also matters because being a few cents above or below the threshold changes the outcome.
Any Tesla-specific catalyst that affects the stock during regular hours could push the market toward or away from the $375 level, including earnings-related reactions, delivery or production headlines, regulatory developments, or analyst commentary. Broader moves in growth stocks, the Nasdaq, interest-rate expectations, or EV-sector sentiment can also matter if they pull TSLA down for even a short window. Because the rule uses the day’s low on a 1-minute candle, a fast selloff and rebound can be enough to decide the market.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 27% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact week covered, the $375 threshold, and the fact that only regular trading hours count. The source of truth is Pyth’s historical 1-minute TSLA Low data, so the key check is whether any candle in that time frame shows a split-adjusted Low at or below the target price. Also watch for corporate actions such as stock splits, since the market rules say the threshold and price data will be adjusted proportionally if that happens during the period.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, and $271.7 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
26.5%
No
73.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 27%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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