
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, and $418.5 in liquidity.
Probability
35%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$418.5
This market asks whether Tesla stock will touch a specific intraday low price during the week of June 8, 2026. It is closely tied to TSLA’s regular-session trading because the outcome depends on one-minute candle lows published from the official resolution source, not on end-of-day closes or after-hours moves.
The event is about Tesla, Inc. common stock, ticker TSLA, and whether any 1-minute candle in the listed week shows a final low at or below $382.50. A “Yes” result needs that price to appear during regular trading hours on the primary exchange, while a “No” result means TSLA never reaches that low during the specified window. The market resolves using Pyth’s TSLA/USD historical data with 1-minute candles, and the deadline for the market itself is June 12, 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
This market exists because short-term price levels in a high-volatility stock like Tesla can be hard to pin down over a one-week horizon. Traders and observers may disagree on whether TSLA’s intraday range will be wide enough to test $382.50, especially with the stock often reacting sharply to company, sector, or broader market moves. The disagreement is not about Tesla’s long-run business story here, but about whether the stock reaches a specific low printed in the official intraday data.
Any Tesla-specific catalyst during the week, such as an earnings-related move, a company filing, delivery commentary, analyst reaction, or a sharp change in broader EV or mega-cap tech sentiment, could push TSLA toward or away from the threshold. Because the rule uses the low of 1-minute candles, fast intraday swings matter more than where the stock closes. Split or other corporate actions would also matter if they occurred in the window, since the market is resolved on split-adjusted Pyth prices.
The current market price implies roughly a 35% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact price rule: the low must be at or below $382.50 in a regular-session 1-minute candle, and pre-market or after-hours prints do not count. The source of truth is Pyth’s Tesla equity page with 1-minute candles, so the key check is whether any qualifying candle appears within the listed week after any adjustment for corporate actions. The market closes after the stated deadline, but the relevant question for resolution is simply whether the threshold was hit anywhere in the time window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, and $418.5 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
35%
No
65%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 35%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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