
+2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, and $183.8 in liquidity.
Probability
53%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$183.8
This market is asking whether Tesla’s stock, as measured by Pyth’s 1-minute candles, will trade down to a low of $390 or below at any point during the week of June 8, 2026. Because the threshold is close to a round number and the window is limited to regular U.S. trading hours, small moves in TSLA can matter a lot.
The contract resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) shows a final Low price at or below $390 during the listed week; otherwise it resolves to No. Only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count, and pre-market or after-hours prints are excluded. The resolution source is Pyth’s TSLA/USD data, and any stock split or similar corporate action would be handled using split-adjusted prices.
This market captures a simple but specific question about Tesla’s trading range over a defined week: can TSLA touch the stated downside level during the regular session? Tesla is a heavily watched large-cap stock, so traders may disagree about how much volatility, news flow, or market pressure can push the shares toward that threshold before the week ends. The market is pricing uncertainty around whether TSLA will briefly probe $390, not just where it finishes.
Price moves in TSLA itself are the main driver here, especially intraday volatility that can create a low of $390 even if the stock later recovers. Company-specific developments such as earnings-related commentary, product, delivery, regulatory, or legal headlines can all change how far the stock swings during the week. Broader moves in tech stocks, risk sentiment, and marketwide volatility can also matter because a sharp session-wide selloff could drag TSLA through the target.
The current market price implies roughly a 53% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+2%
24h Vol
$41.5K
Liquidity
$51.6K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should watch the exact cutoff window: the market ends on June 12, 2026 at 20:00 UTC, but only regular U.S. trading hours count for resolution. The key source of truth is Pyth’s TSLA/USD chart at the 1-minute setting, and the deciding value is the published Low for any qualifying candle, without rounding. The main ambiguity risks are whether a move occurred outside regular hours, whether Pyth shows a split-adjusted price after any corporate action, and whether the intraday low clearly reaches $390 or below.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, and $183.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
53%
No
47%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 53%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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