
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$68K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$10K
Liquidity
$0
This market is asking whether Tesla stock will touch a very specific intraday price threshold: $412.50 on a 1-minute high during the week of June 8, 2026. Because the bar is set at an exact level and the source is a minute-by-minute data feed, small moves in TSLA can determine the outcome.
The question is whether any regular-trading-hours 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) will print a final high at or above $412.50 during the listed week. The market resolves from Pyth’s TSLA/USD data, using 1-minute candles, and it explicitly ignores pre-market and after-hours trading. If Tesla undergoes a stock split or similar corporate action during the period, the threshold is adjusted proportionally and resolution follows the split-adjusted Pyth history.
This market is about whether Tesla can reach a precise price ceiling within a narrow one-week window, which is the kind of event that can hinge on a strong intraday rally, a broad market move, or company-specific news. TSLA is a heavily watched stock, so even a small threshold can attract disagreement over whether the share price can get there before the deadline. The live market is extremely one-sided, with a very tight bid-ask spread, which suggests participants are treating a Yes outcome as the dominant view.
For this market, the biggest price-moving factors are Tesla’s own trading action and any news that could drive an intraday surge large enough to reach the target. Since the resolution depends on the high of a 1-minute candle, a brief spike matters even if the stock does not hold that level by the close. Splits, earnings, guidance, analyst reactions, broader risk-on or risk-off moves, and sharp sector swings can all matter if they occur before the deadline.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+1%
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$68K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule: only regular trading hours count, the reference is Pyth’s published 1-minute high data, and the market ends on June 12, 2026 even though the title refers to the week of June 8. The most important thing to verify is whether any 1-minute candle during that window reaches at least $412.50 after any required split adjustment. Because the threshold is exact, ambiguity can come from corporate actions, timestamp boundaries, or differences between intraday highs and closing prices, so the Pyth chart and its historical candle data are the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10K in 24h volume.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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