
+1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$54.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 36%, and $444.5 in liquidity.
Probability
36%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$444.5
This market asks whether Tesla stock will print a one-minute high of at least $435 during the trading week of June 8, 2026. It is a narrow price-threshold question, so what matters is not where TSLA finishes the week, but whether the intraday high ever touches the listed level during regular market hours.
The event is tied to Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and resolves based on Pyth’s 1-minute candle data for the stock’s "High" price. The market will be a "Yes" if any 1-minute candle during the week of June 8, 2026 has a final high at or above $435, and "No" if none do. Only regular trading hours on the primary exchange count; pre-market and after-hours prices do not.
This market reflects uncertainty around whether Tesla can reach a specific intraday price milestone within a defined week. For a stock like TSLA, small changes in momentum, volatility, or reaction to company-specific news can matter a lot when the trigger is a single print rather than a closing level. Traders are essentially disagreeing about whether the stock can briefly move high enough, not whether it can hold that level.
Any Tesla-specific announcement, earnings-related guidance, delivery commentary, product news, analyst reaction, or broader movement in growth-stock sentiment could affect whether TSLA reaches the $435 threshold. Because the trigger is an intraday high, fast moves around the open, midday headlines, or late-session volatility can be decisive even if the stock later gives back the gain. Stock splits or similar corporate actions would also matter because the market explicitly uses split-adjusted Pyth prices.
The current market price implies roughly a 36% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+1%
24h Vol
$41.1K
Liquidity
$54.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rules closely: the source is Pyth’s TSLA 1-minute "High" prices, and only regular-session candles count. The deadline window runs through the week of June 8, 2026, with the market ending on June 12, 2026 at 20:00 UTC, so the relevant question is whether any qualifying candle appears before then. The main ambiguity to verify is whether the plotted Pyth data shows the level on a split-adjusted basis, since the contract says adjustments will be applied if a stock split or similar action occurs.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 36%, and $444.5 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
36%
No
64%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 36%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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