Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?. The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, $37.3 in 24h volume, and $86.5 in liquidity.
Probability
26%
24h Volume
$37.3
Liquidity
$86.5
This market is about whether Tyreek Hill’s next NFL team will be the Kansas City Chiefs. Hill is a major name because he spent the early part of his NFL career in Kansas City before later moving on, so any return would be a notable roster move. The page should be read with the market rules in mind, because the resolution depends on an official team signing rather than speculation or rumors.
The title asks a simple question: will Tyreek Hill play for the Chiefs next? Under the market description, settlement is based on the next NFL team Hill joins before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, using official information from the NFL or the acquiring team. If the page’s Yes outcome corresponds to Kansas City, then an official Chiefs signing announcement before the deadline would settle Yes; if he joins a different listed team, joins an unlisted team, remains unsigned, retires, or is otherwise not under NFL contract by then, the result would settle against that outcome.
Hill’s future team is uncertain because player movement in the NFL can turn on contracts, releases, retirements, and late-offseason roster decisions. The market is essentially pricing whether Kansas City is the next stop, versus the more ordinary outcome that he lands elsewhere or not at all. That uncertainty is especially relevant for a player with a strong connection to the Chiefs and a name that carries real roster significance.
An official Chiefs signing announcement would be the clearest catalyst and could resolve the market immediately under the rules. Anything that narrows or widens the list of possible destinations for Hill — such as a release, a retirement indication, or an official agreement with another team — would also move the price. Because the settlement depends on the next NFL team he joins, even one confirmed signing elsewhere would matter more than general chatter about interest.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 26% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key items to verify are the exact settlement rule for the Yes/No outcomes, whether the page treats a Chiefs signing as the Yes side, and the deadline of August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The official source of truth is the NFL or the acquiring team, so unofficial reports alone should not be treated as decisive. Readers should also watch for ambiguity around contract timing, free-agent status, and any announcement made right before the cutoff, since that is what determines the final settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?. The market currently shows a live probability of 26%, $37.3 in 24h volume, and $86.5 in liquidity.
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Yes
26.4%
No
73.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Aug 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 26%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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