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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $71.4K in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$71.4K
Liquidity
$2.5K
This market asks whether Valve will take Nuke out of Counter-Strike 2’s official Active Duty map pool before the end of June 30, 2026, and keep it out for at least 48 hours. Nuke is one of the most recognizable tactical maps in CS, so any change to the pool matters for both Premier play and the professional scene.
The question is narrow: will Valve Corporation remove the map Nuke from the official CS2 map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with the change lasting continuously for at least 48 hours? The market’s rules say temporary testing removals do not count, and the relevant pool is the Active Duty map group used in matchmaking and tournaments. Resolution is based primarily on official Valve information, with credible reporting used only if needed to confirm the change.
Map-pool changes in Counter-Strike are a big deal because they affect team preparation, tournament strategies, and the competitive identity of the game. Nuke is a long-running, highly specialized map with a distinct layout and tactics, so there is always uncertainty around whether Valve will keep it in rotation or swap it out as the game evolves. The market is pricing the chance that Valve chooses to alter the standard competitive lineup during the stated window.
Any official Valve announcement about an Active Duty pool update would be the clearest price-moving event, especially if Nuke is explicitly named. A patch note, tournament-facing change, or map rotation update that removes Nuke for longer than 48 hours would push this market toward Yes, while continued inclusion of Nuke in the pool or a replacement involving a different map would support No. Because the rules exclude short-lived tests, readers should pay attention to whether any removal is framed as temporary or experimental.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official map pool status, the exact date and time of any removal, and whether the absence lasts at least 48 hours straight. Valve’s own announcements and CS2 update notes are the main source of truth, and the market will not resolve Yes for a brief experiment that is quickly reversed. If there is any ambiguity, such as a map being disabled for a special event or a short test period, the 48-hour rule is the detail that decides whether the removal counts.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $71.4K in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
2.3%
No
97.8%
Polymarket has not provided a clear end date for this market yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count. The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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