Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $5.4K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.