
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$63.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.5K
This market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will trade down to $70 or lower during the week of June 8, 2026. WTI is the main U.S. benchmark for oil prices, so a move through that level would reflect a meaningful shift in near-term energy pricing. The page is watching the futures market itself, not retail gas prices or spot headlines.
The question is narrowly defined around the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures and the "Low" price on any 1-minute candle during the listed week. It resolves "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during an applicable trading session in that week, the published Pyth price for that contract is at or below $70.00; otherwise it resolves "No." The market ends on June 12, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, and if the active-month contract does not trade during the window, the result is automatically "No."
Crude oil can move quickly on supply, demand, inventory, geopolitical, and macroeconomic news, and a round number like $70 often acts as a visible threshold for traders. Because the market is based on exact intraday futures data rather than an end-of-week close, there is uncertainty about whether prices will briefly touch that level even if they do not stay there. The current pricing also shows that traders see this as a low-probability event, with the No side heavily favored and the order book fairly tight.
The clearest drivers are developments that change the near-term outlook for oil futures: OPEC+ supply decisions, unexpected production outages, inventory data, and broader risk-off moves that push commodities lower. Because this market is tied to the active-month CL contract, calendar timing matters too; a rollover into a different contract can change the reference price and affect whether the threshold is reached. Any sharp move in the futures session itself, even if brief, can be enough to decide the market because the rule looks at 1-minute highs or lows.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$63.8K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact contract month being treated as the active month during the week of June 8, 2026, since the rules switch the active month before the nearest contract’s last trading session. It is also important to use the published Pyth prices exactly as listed, with no rounding, because the threshold is set at a precise $70.00 line. The relevant trading window is the CME session schedule, including the daily break and any holiday adjustments, so a price outside that session does not count toward resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $1.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
2%
No
98%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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