
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$6.3K
This market asks whether West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures will print a one-minute low at or below $80 during the week of June 8, 2026. It is worth watching because $80 is a round price level that often acts as a headline threshold in energy markets, and the contract’s behavior around that mark can reflect changing expectations for supply, demand, and geopolitical risk.
The question is narrowly tied to the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures contract, not to spot oil prices or a broad average. It resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle published by Pyth during the relevant trading sessions for that week has a final High or Low at or beyond the $80 threshold in the direction specified by the market, and No if that does not happen or if the active-month contract does not trade during the window. The market ends on June 12, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, and only prices from the specified trading sessions count.
WTI futures can move sharply around macro data, OPEC-related supply expectations, refinery demand, inventory reports, and broader risk sentiment, so a single week can easily test a round-number level like $80. Traders may disagree not only about the direction of oil prices but also about whether intraday volatility will be enough to touch the threshold even if the market does not hold there. This market is therefore pricing the chance of an intraday move, not a closing price outcome.
Price moves are most likely to come from WTI-specific catalysts such as inventory releases, changes in U.S. production or refining outlook, OPEC policy signals, and any shift in the geopolitical backdrop that affects crude supply expectations. Because the contract is resolved using 1-minute candles, brief spikes or dips during the trading session matter just as much as sustained trends. The active-month roll rules can also matter if the nearest contract is near expiration and the market is tracking the next listed month instead.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact threshold, the active-month contract in force during the week, and the session window that counts under the rules, since overnight and holiday hours can affect which prices are eligible. The source of truth is the Pyth-published price feed, used exactly as published without rounding, so a tiny difference around $80 can decide the outcome. It is also important to check whether the active-month contract traded at all during the relevant sessions, because no trading in that window resolves the market to No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $6.3K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
4%
No
96%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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