
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 25%, $153.9 in 24h volume, and $1.4K in liquidity.
Probability
25%
24h Volume
$153.9
Liquidity
$1.4K
This market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will trade at or below $85 at any point during the trading week of June 8, 2026. It is worth watching because WTI is the U.S. benchmark for crude oil, and a move through a round-number level like $85 can reflect shifts in energy supply, demand expectations, or broader market risk sentiment.
The contract in focus is WTI Crude Oil futures, with resolution tied to the active month for that week rather than a specific calendar-dated contract. The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle published by Pyth shows the contract’s final Low price at or below $85 during an eligible trading session in that week; otherwise it resolves No. The market closes for resolution on June 12, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, and prices are used exactly as published without rounding.
WTI often moves on news about OPEC policy, U.S. inventory trends, refinery demand, shipping disruptions, and broader macro conditions. This market captures uncertainty around whether crude can touch a specific downside threshold during a defined week, which is different from simply asking where oil will finish on Friday. Traders may disagree on whether that level is close enough to be tested during normal intraday volatility.
The biggest drivers for this market are changes in crude supply or demand expectations, since those can push WTI quickly toward or away from $85. Because the rule looks at intraday highs and lows, even a short-lived spike or selloff in the active-month futures contract can determine the outcome. The active-month rollover also matters here, because the contract being tracked can change during the period under CME-style futures timing rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 25% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify which futures contract is the active month during the week of June 8 and whether any trading-session hours were affected by a holiday or special schedule. The key source of truth is the Pyth-published 1-minute candle data for WTI futures, not end-of-day closing prices. One important ambiguity to watch is that the market uses the contract’s published High or Low exactly as shown, so a brief touch of $85.00 or lower is enough for Yes under the stated rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 25%, $153.9 in 24h volume, and $1.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
25%
No
75%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 25%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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