
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $3 in 24h volume, and $0.8 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$3
Liquidity
$0.8
This market asks whether front-month WTI crude oil futures will print an intraday price at or above $115 during the trading week of June 8, 2026. It is tied to the CME WTI contract and uses Pyth’s published minute candles, so the exact price path during the relevant sessions matters more than the closing level alone.
The question is narrow: will the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures contract reach a high of $115 or more at any point in a 1-minute candle during the specified week? The market resolves to Yes if that price is met or exceeded during an eligible trading session; if it never happens, or if the active-month contract does not trade in the window, it resolves No. The end date shown on the page is June 12, 2026, and the rule set says the relevant trading week follows CME-style session timing, with the session day beginning the prior evening at 6:00 PM ET.
WTI crude can move sharply on supply disruptions, OPEC-related policy shifts, refinery demand, inventories, geopolitics, or broader risk sentiment, so a round-number threshold like $115 is a concrete way to frame that uncertainty. Because the market is built around a specific futures high rather than a weekly average or settlement price, people can disagree not just on direction but on whether prices can briefly spike far enough to touch the trigger. The current book looks thin and wide, which usually means the market is still searching for a clearer view of how likely that price level is.
Any news that changes the expected path of near-dated crude futures can move this market quickly, especially developments that affect supply availability, transportation, or short-term demand. Because the rule keys off the active-month contract, changes in the forward curve, contract rollover timing, or a brief intraday spike in the front-month future can matter even if the broader market later pulls back. The wide bid-ask spread and low reported volume also mean small trades or one-sided interest may shift the displayed price materially before the week is over.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact contract that is defined as the active month during the June 8, 2026 trading week, because the rule switches to the next listed contract near expiry. The source of truth is the Pyth-published 1-minute high and low for the applicable WTI futures contract during eligible CME trading sessions, not a news headline or spot oil quote. It is also important to check holiday or special-session hours, since only prices reached during the allowed session window count toward resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $3 in 24h volume, and $0.8 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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