
+3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $63.2 in 24h volume, and $327.4 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$63.2
Liquidity
$327.4
This market asks whether front-month WTI crude oil futures will trade as high as $120 during the week of June 8, 2026. It is a straightforward price-threshold question, but one that depends on a very specific futures contract and a very specific measurement rule. Because oil can move sharply on supply shocks, geopolitics, and inventory surprises, the $120 level is a meaningful stretch point to watch.
The contract here is WTI Crude Oil futures, the benchmark U.S. oil futures traded on CME. The market resolves to Yes if, during the week of June 8, 2026 and within an applicable trading session, any 1-minute candle for the active-month WTI futures contract has a published High or Low at or beyond $120, using Pyth prices exactly as published and without rounding. If the active-month contract does not trade in the window, or if no qualifying candle reaches the threshold, the market resolves to No.
The uncertainty is about whether crude can make an extreme move high enough to touch a round number that is well above typical trading levels. WTI is sensitive to OPEC+ policy, supply disruptions, refinery demand, inventory data, and broader risk sentiment, so traders can reasonably disagree on whether a brief spike to $120 is plausible in that week. The market is essentially pricing the odds of an outsized upside move, not a sustained close above the level.
Anything that tightens global oil supply or triggers a fast repricing in energy futures can matter here, especially if it hits during the trading session and pushes the active-month contract quickly higher. Examples include major production cuts, an unexpected disruption to crude flows, escalation in a conflict affecting shipping or producers, or a surprise demand or inventory report that changes the market’s outlook. Because the rule only needs one 1-minute candle to touch the level, even a short-lived spike can decide the outcome.
Related markets

+3%
24h Vol
$58.8K
Liquidity
$62.4K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify which contract month is the active month during the week of June 8, 2026, since the rules say the active month rolls before the nearest contract’s last trading session. It is also important to check the exact source used here: Pyth-published prices, the 1-minute candle high or low, and whether the move occurred during an eligible trading session under the CME schedule. Holiday timing, session breaks, and the final listed contract’s last trade date can all affect whether a price print counts, so those details matter more than an end-of-day settlement level.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $63.2 in 24h volume, and $327.4 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
2.9%
No
97.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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