sports
⚡ Tight
99%
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Roman Safiullin vs. Joao Fonseca: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca
24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketSports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $20.3K in 24h volume, and $12.6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$20.3K
Liquidity
$12.6K
This market asks whether Xiyu Wang will win the 2026 U.S. Open women’s singles title. The U.S. Open is one of tennis’s four Grand Slam events, so this is a straightforward but high-stakes question about who comes through a long, knockout tournament in New York. The market stays open until the tournament is decided, with settlement tied to the official U.S. Open winner or a fallback outcome if the event is delayed beyond the rules window.
The specific question is simple: will Xiyu Wang be the champion of the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament? The tournament is scheduled for August 23 to September 13, 2026, and the market resolves to the player who is officially declared the singles winner. If Wang is eliminated at any point, she can no longer win the title under the tournament bracket, and the market rules say that outcome would settle to “No.” If the women’s singles event is cancelled, pushed beyond October 31, 2026, or otherwise ends without a winner being declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to “Other.”
A Grand Slam winner is hard to forecast because the field is deep, matches are best-of-three sets, and a single bad day can end a favorite’s run. Xiyu Wang’s path would depend on her own form, the draw she receives, and whether she can survive multiple rounds against top players and dangerous lower-ranked opponents. This market reflects disagreement over whether Wang has any realistic championship path in a major that usually rewards both elite level and consistency across two weeks. The tiny ask price and wide spread between “Yes” and “No” show that the market is heavily skeptical, but the actual settlement still depends entirely on the official tournament result.
The biggest price moves would come from the official draw, because seed placement and early-round opponents can materially change a player’s path. News about injury status, withdrawal, retirement, or poor form in lead-up events can also shift expectations quickly, especially if Wang is reported to be carrying a physical issue. During the tournament, each round matters: a strong first week can extend the possibility, while an early loss ends it immediately. If Wang advances deep into the event, especially into the second week, that would make the title path much more plausible and would usually move the market more than pre-tournament speculation.
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24h Vol
$647.6K
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/16/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the official U.S. Open site for the women’s singles draw, match results, withdrawals, and the final champion, since that is the primary settlement source. If the event is delayed or altered, the key cutoff in the rules is whether a winner is declared by October 31, 2026. The main ambiguity risk is not the title itself but the tournament’s status: if the event is cancelled, postponed too far, or ends without an official women’s singles winner, the market does not settle to a player name. Until then, the decisive facts are the bracket, Wang’s continued eligibility, and the official champion announced by the U.S. Open.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $20.3K in 24h volume, and $12.6K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Sep 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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